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Qual 132025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red181
362068.9
608842.8
353660.4
Blue172
924570.7
722043.6
496759.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162167130140150180190200210181172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
10Coral scored#8
50Coral points39
50Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +2
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points95
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
117Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#12
8L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
181Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#8
68.91.5
66.2→67.8
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
blue by 1.8
9245
#3
70.71.2
56.5→57.7
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
3536
#13
60.41.5
58.2→59.7
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
red by 0.5
4967
#16
59.91.2
56.2→57.3
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
Third
6088
#32
42.81.5
33.9→35.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
blue by 0.9
7220
#31
43.61.2
41.9→43.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned