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Red160
20145.2
437539.9
719648.3
Blue193
477665.1
432736.2
1066647.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134137130150160170180190160193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
23Coral scored#32
81Coral points114
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
125Total teleop146
Reef
12L4#15
6L3#10
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
35Game pieces#46
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
160Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7196
#38
48.31.6
44.746.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
blue by 16.8
65.13.6
51.555.0
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
Second
201
#18
45.21.6
36.137.7
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
blue by 2.0
47.23.6
38.442.0
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
Third
4375
#39
39.91.6
34.936.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
red by 3.7
4327
#29
36.23.6
25.729.2
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned