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Red157
261941.1
150244.6
46957.7
Blue199
102557.2
438145.9
546070.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144185100200250157199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
10Coral scored#13
48Coral points65
51Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +14
22Coral scored#22
80Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
102Total teleop116
Reef
14L4#16
10L3#10
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points2
157Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#22
57.70.1
54.955.0
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
blue by 12.7
70.40.8
68.469.2
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
Second
1502
#24
44.60.1
43.443.5
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
blue by 12.6
1025
#14
57.20.8
57.458.2
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Third
2619
#20
41.10.1
42.742.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 4.8
45.90.8
45.646.4
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned