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Red139
553833.8
118849.5
14145.6
Blue153
496759.9
719648.3
839744.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129169100150200139153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
18Coral scored#22
65Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
89Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#8
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
139Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#36
49.51.1
44.445.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
blue by 10.4
4967
#16
59.90.1
56.956.8
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
Second
141
#35
45.61.1
44.545.6
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
blue by 2.7
7196
#38
48.30.1
50.049.9
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
Third
5538
#33
33.81.1
34.335.4
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
blue by 10.6
8397
#21
44.40.1
47.046.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned