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Qual 662025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red137
437539.9
353660.4
776839.4
Blue147
20145.2
516659.2
357262.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146180100200250137147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
91Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#8
7L3#6
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#30
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
137Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#13
60.40.4
68.0→67.6
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
blue by 2.3
3572
#17
62.71.3
62.1→60.8
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
4375
#39
39.90.4
37.4→37.0
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 19.3
5166
#5
59.21.3
59.3→58.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Third
7768
#37
39.40.4
37.6→37.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.0
End4.4
blue by 5.8
201
#18
45.21.3
44.9→43.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned