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Qual 672025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red175
608842.8
535256.3
353730.8
Blue178
376763.0
955845.5
607747.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136184100150200250175178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points29
30Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +2
22Coral scored#26
79Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
119Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#11
9L3#8
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
175Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#11
56.32.1
52.9→55.0
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
blue by 6.7
3767
#7
63.00.4
56.9→57.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
6088
#32
42.82.1
38.1→40.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
blue by 4.3
6077
#30
47.10.4
46.6→47.0
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End9.4
Third
3537
#40
30.82.1
26.3→28.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 14.7
9558
#28
45.50.4
44.9→45.3
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned