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Red197
102557.2
496759.9
118849.5
Blue202
554747.2
362068.9
654855.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165173120140180200220197202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points41
58Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +16
23Coral scored#27
81Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
113Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#13
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
197Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#16
59.92.4
56.859.3
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
blue by 9.0
68.92.5
67.970.4
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
Second
1025
#14
57.22.4
58.260.7
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
red by 1.5
55.72.5
51.954.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Third
1188
#36
49.52.4
45.447.8
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
red by 2.3
5547
#34
47.22.5
44.847.3
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned