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Red196
722043.6
546070.4
477665.1
Blue165
750149.9
719648.3
14145.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188151100200250300196165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
23Coral scored#18
83Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
117Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#6
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
4Foul points0
196Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.41.2
69.270.4
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 20.5
7501
#23
49.91.5
47.148.6
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3
Second
65.11.2
62.864.0
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
red by 16.8
7196
#38
48.31.5
49.951.4
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
Third
7220
#31
43.61.2
41.642.9
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
blue by 2.0
141
#35
45.61.5
45.647.1
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned