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Qual 702025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red132
261941.1
776839.4
20145.2
Blue164
102359.4
118958.7
150244.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131168100150200250132164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +34
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
2Processor algae#6
4Net algae#5
12Processor points36
16Net points20
28Algae points56
69Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
132Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
45.20.6
43.6→44.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
blue by 14.2
1023
#10
59.40.8
53.9→54.7
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Second
2619
#20
41.10.6
42.8→43.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 17.5
1189
#19
58.70.8
55.0→55.7
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
Third
7768
#37
39.40.6
37.2→37.7
Auto7.0
Teleop28.0
End4.4
blue by 5.2
1502
#24
44.60.8
43.5→44.3
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned