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Qual 742025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red195
296052.7
353730.8
118958.7
Blue154
353660.4
719648.3
102557.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144200100250195154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
27Coral scored#15
96Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
132Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#8
12L3#7
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
195Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#19
58.72.5
55.7→58.2
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
blue by 1.7
3536
#13
60.43.1
67.6→64.5
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Second
2960
#15
52.72.5
50.0→52.5
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
blue by 4.5
1025
#14
57.23.1
60.7→57.5
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Third
3537
#40
30.82.5
28.4→30.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 17.5
7196
#38
48.33.1
51.4→48.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned