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Red203
362068.9
546070.4
296052.7
Blue147
46957.7
496759.9
438145.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206174100150250300203147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+42Teleop
+74Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
11Coral scored#5
55Coral points27
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
109Total teleop95
Reef
16L4#11
6L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#30
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points18
203Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.40.2
70.570.8
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 10.5
4967
#16
59.90.8
60.859.9
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
Second
68.90.2
69.069.2
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 11.2
469
#22
57.70.8
58.657.7
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
Third
2960
#15
52.70.2
52.853.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
red by 6.8
45.90.8
46.745.9
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8