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Red146
102557.2
750149.9
654855.7
Blue163
258651.2
516659.2
357262.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17318550100150200250300146163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
18Processor points18
24Net points12
42Algae points30
102Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points8
146Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#14
57.20.4
57.557.2
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
blue by 5.4
3572
#17
62.70.4
63.062.5
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
55.70.4
56.055.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
blue by 3.5
59.20.4
59.559.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Third
7501
#23
49.90.4
50.349.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3
blue by 1.3
2586
#27
51.20.4
51.551.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4