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Red179
705657.9
353660.4
261941.1
Blue218
535256.3
118958.7
1066647.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190191180185195200205210215179218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
8Coral scored#9
40Coral points47
40Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +32
21Coral scored#30
77Coral points109
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
113Total teleop145
Reef
11L4#16
8L3#12
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
179Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#13
60.40.4
62.862.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
red by 1.7
1189
#19
58.70.5
58.258.7
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
Second
57.90.4
60.460.0
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
red by 1.6
5352
#11
56.30.5
55.956.4
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
Third
2619
#20
41.10.4
43.643.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 6.1
47.20.5
46.747.3
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9