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Red147
722043.6
535256.3
432736.2
Blue145
554747.2
258651.2
765646.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14616650100200250300147145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
6Processor points12
28Net points20
34Algae points32
95Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points0
147Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#11
56.30.8
55.155.9
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
red by 5.1
2586
#27
51.20.1
51.651.5
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
Second
7220
#31
43.60.8
42.943.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
blue by 3.6
5547
#34
47.20.1
47.347.2
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Third
4327
#29
36.20.8
35.436.2
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
blue by 10.7
7656
#26
46.80.1
46.946.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned