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Qual 792025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red165
296052.7
477665.1
150244.6
Blue192
654855.7
516659.2
102359.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173179100150200250165192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
121Total teleop119
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#9
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
165Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#6
65.10.3
64.0→64.3
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
red by 5.7
1023
#10
59.41.7
54.7→56.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Second
2960
#15
52.70.3
52.5→52.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
blue by 6.5
5166
#5
59.21.7
57.8→59.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Third
1502
#24
44.60.3
44.3→44.6
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
blue by 11.1
6548
#4
55.71.7
54.4→56.0
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned