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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1382095010025030089165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+98
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points29
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +78
7Coral scored#24
26Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
44Total teleop122
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#10
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
89Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9558
#28
45.52.6
45.142.4
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
blue by 25.2
70.71.6
71.569.8
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
8397
#21
44.42.6
47.044.4
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
blue by 16.0
3536
#13
60.41.6
64.562.8
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Third
5538
#33
33.82.6
36.433.8
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
blue by 18.1
7197
#12
51.91.6
53.651.9
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned