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Red182
705657.9
496759.9
608842.8
Blue170
376763.0
46957.7
437539.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167167140150160180190200182170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
28Coral scored#20
101Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
133Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#12
11L3#7
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
182Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#16
59.91.5
59.360.8
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
blue by 3.1
63.01.0
59.060.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
57.91.5
58.960.4
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
red by 0.2
469
#22
57.71.0
57.658.6
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
Third
6088
#32
42.81.5
41.342.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
red by 2.9
4375
#39
39.91.0
38.939.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned