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Red171
438145.9
261941.1
357262.7
Blue147
14145.6
1066647.2
362068.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182201140160220240260171147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave3
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points36
44Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
91Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#8
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points0
171Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#17
62.70.2
62.763.0
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
blue by 6.2
68.91.4
70.469.0
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
Second
45.90.2
46.546.7
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
blue by 1.3
47.21.4
48.246.7
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
Third
2619
#20
41.10.2
43.443.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 4.5
141
#35
45.61.4
47.145.6
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned