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Red75
705657.9
353660.4
261941.1
Blue175
102557.2
750149.9
654855.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17216910015020025075175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+98
Endgame+102
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave6
1Coral scored#9
4Coral points45
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +60
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
48Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#10
2L2#9
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +100
2Foul points0
75Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#13
60.42.1
62.460.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
red by 3.2
1025
#14
57.20.3
57.257.4
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Second
57.92.1
60.057.9
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
red by 2.2
55.70.3
55.655.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Third
2619
#20
41.12.1
43.241.1
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 8.8
7501
#23
49.90.3
49.950.1
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3