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Red212
362068.9
546070.4
296052.7
Blue180
20145.2
477665.1
924570.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20418704006008001,000212180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave3
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points36
58Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#24
70Coral points87
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
116Total teleop125
Reef
8L4#9
12L3#10
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#8
40Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
212Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.40.4
70.871.2
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
blue by 0.2
70.70.0
70.670.6
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
68.90.4
69.269.6
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 3.7
65.10.0
65.065.0
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
Third
2960
#15
52.70.4
53.053.4
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
red by 7.5
201
#18
45.20.0
45.145.1
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2