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Red191
85848.7
233779.0
207572.0
Blue186
521673.8
519348.6
22666.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219203140160180240260280300191186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points52
51Total auto55
TeleoperatedRed +13
24Coral scored#20
86Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
6Processor points18
24Net points12
30Algae points30
116Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#11
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
191Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.2
79.279.0
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 5.2
5216
#25
73.80.1
73.973.8
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
72.00.2
72.272.0
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 5.9
226
#2
66.10.1
66.266.1
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Third
858
#20
48.70.2
48.948.7
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Level
5193
#29
48.60.1
48.748.6
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6