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Red217
85848.7
233779.0
207572.0
Blue204
521673.8
519348.6
22666.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219202150250300217204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
8Coral scored#9
42Coral points45
51Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +10
24Coral scored#30
88Coral points108
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#5
18Processor points12
44Net points20
62Algae points32
150Total teleop140
Reef
13L4#13
9L3#10
7L2#10
3L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
217Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.1
79.179.2
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 5.2
5216
#25
73.80.1
73.873.9
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
72.00.1
72.272.2
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 5.9
226
#2
66.10.1
66.166.2
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Third
858
#20
48.70.1
48.848.9
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Level
5193
#29
48.60.1
48.648.7
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6