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Red216
170172.0
521673.8
566052.0
Blue145
387543.6
506651.2
663747.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19711950100150250216145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +38
23Coral scored#17
84Coral points62
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
132Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#7
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
216Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#25
73.81.7
64.966.7
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
red by 22.6
5066
#24
51.20.9
38.539.4
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
Second
72.01.7
64.466.2
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
red by 24.3
6637
#35
47.70.9
41.942.8
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
Third
5660
#17
52.01.7
49.351.1
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
red by 8.4
3875
#36
43.60.9
39.540.4
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned