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Red167
519348.6
440560.6
515249.7
Blue172
360462.2
1034935.1
149858.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13714580100120160180200220167172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +1
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points57
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
6Processor points24
24Net points20
30Algae points44
102Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points0
167Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#18
60.62.3
43.245.5
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
blue by 1.6
3604
#12
62.22.3
50.652.9
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
Second
5152
#27
49.72.3
40.642.9
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
blue by 9.0
1498
#11
58.62.3
43.846.1
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Third
5193
#29
48.62.3
38.540.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
red by 13.5
35.12.3
33.636.0
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned