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Red180
30265.8
107665.3
22666.1
Blue119
779054.2
634434.2
85848.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210250150200250180119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
0Leave6
12Coral scored#3
58Coral points14
58Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +25
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points49
4Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
24Processor points18
8Net points16
32Algae points34
108Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#4
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
180Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
66.11.4
51.152.5
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
red by 11.9
7790
#16
54.20.9
40.040.9
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
Second
302
#7
65.81.4
45.747.1
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
red by 17.2
858
#20
48.70.9
29.930.8
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Third
1076
#19
65.31.4
51.552.8
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 31.2
6344
#28
34.20.9
23.924.9
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned