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Red166
49471.4
437727.4
365661.0
Blue172
1050551.3
213772.8
1060641.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159148120140180200166172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
25Coral scored#25
90Coral points89
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
114Total teleop135
Reef
15L4#11
8L3#7
4L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#42
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
166Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
71.40.5
63.462.9
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
blue by 1.4
72.81.1
68.569.6
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Second
61.00.5
58.157.6
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
red by 9.8
51.31.1
36.137.2
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
Third
4377
#39
27.40.5
23.723.1
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
blue by 14.0
41.41.1
29.130.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed