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Red170
24555.4
661564.7
233779.0
Blue134
515029.5
531440.8
10739.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2069750150250300170134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
28Coral scored#20
100Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
118Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#9
7L3#7
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
2Foul points0
170Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.02.4
69.467.0
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 38.2
5314
#33
40.81.2
37.038.3
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Second
6615
#15
64.72.4
60.958.6
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
red by 25.5
107
#34
39.21.2
33.935.1
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Third
245
#21
55.42.4
50.247.8
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
red by 25.8
5150
#32
29.51.2
22.824.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned