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Red144
925525.1
602928.8
423760.9
Blue205
207572.0
317573.1
1063347.8
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8817850150200250144205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+41
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
22Coral scored#25
80Coral points91
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
12Processor points30
20Net points28
32Algae points58
112Total teleop149
Reef
13L4#8
4L3#11
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
144Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#13
60.92.3
46.248.5
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
blue by 12.2
3175
#22
73.11.9
58.360.2
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
6029
#38
28.82.3
24.026.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
blue by 43.2
72.01.9
60.362.2
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
9255
#37
25.12.3
19.421.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
blue by 22.6
47.81.9
39.241.1
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned