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Red194
566052.0
5150.4
86273.0
Blue134
1034935.1
967334.5
91060.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189126100150200250194134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points29
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
24Processor points12
24Net points24
48Algae points36
131Total teleop91
Reef
11L4#6
10L3#6
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
194Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
73.01.2
67.668.8
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
red by 12.9
910
#9
60.10.4
55.656.0
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
Second
5660
#17
52.01.2
51.152.3
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
red by 16.9
35.10.4
36.036.3
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
Third
51
#14
50.41.2
46.247.4
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
red by 15.9
9673
#30
34.50.4
25.626.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned