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Red167
24555.4
521673.8
5150.4
Blue195
213772.8
365661.0
85848.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179178150160170190200210220167195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points47
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#25
82Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
116Total teleop122
Reef
7L4#14
10L3#9
9L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
167Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#25
73.80.4
66.766.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
red by 1.0
72.81.7
69.671.3
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Second
245
#21
55.40.4
47.847.4
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
blue by 5.7
61.01.7
57.659.3
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
Third
51
#14
50.40.4
47.447.0
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
red by 1.8
858
#20
48.71.7
30.832.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned