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Red175
10739.2
602928.8
86273.0
Blue185
107665.3
149858.6
91060.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143172100200250175185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
22Coral scored#27
80Coral points97
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
120Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#12
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
12Foul points0
175Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
73.01.2
68.870.0
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
red by 7.7
1076
#19
65.31.1
52.853.9
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
107
#34
39.21.2
35.136.4
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 20.9
910
#9
60.11.1
56.057.1
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
Third
6029
#38
28.81.2
26.327.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
blue by 29.8
1498
#11
58.61.1
46.147.2
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned