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Red115
967334.5
566052.0
515249.7
Blue168
233779.0
515029.5
440560.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142164100200250300115168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+39
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +39
3Leave9
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points46
16Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
83Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#12
5L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
2Foul points0
115Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#17
52.01.6
52.350.7
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
blue by 27.0
79.00.9
68.269.1
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
5152
#27
49.71.6
44.543.0
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
blue by 10.9
4405
#18
60.60.9
48.549.4
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
Third
9673
#30
34.51.6
28.627.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
red by 5.0
5150
#32
29.50.9
26.627.5
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned