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Red142
207572.0
1034935.1
925525.1
Blue176
521673.8
779054.2
387543.6
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13617450100150200250142176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points71
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
100Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#5
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points4
142Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
64.564.9
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
blue by 1.8
5216
#25
73.80.6
66.266.8
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
35.10.4
36.336.7
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
blue by 19.1
7790
#16
54.20.6
42.643.1
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
Third
9255
#37
25.10.4
21.722.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
blue by 18.5
3875
#36
43.60.6
43.444.0
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned