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Red215
85848.7
49471.4
149858.6
Blue202
317573.1
91060.1
86273.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155208100250300215202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points84
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#8
18Processor points30
20Net points32
38Algae points62
138Total teleop146
Reef
16L4#11
11L3#5
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
215Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
71.43.7
65.268.9
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
blue by 1.7
3175
#22
73.10.1
62.862.7
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
1498
#11
58.63.7
47.250.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
blue by 14.3
862
#10
73.00.1
70.069.9
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
Third
858
#20
48.73.7
32.536.3
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
blue by 11.4
910
#9
60.10.1
57.157.0
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned