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Red133
365661.0
519348.6
360462.2
Blue100
107665.3
634434.2
1063347.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180139100150200250133100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
89Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
133Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
62.21.7
52.951.2
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
blue by 3.1
1076
#19
65.31.9
53.952.1
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
61.01.7
59.357.6
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
red by 13.3
47.81.9
44.142.2
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Third
5193
#29
48.61.7
40.739.0
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
red by 14.4
6344
#28
34.21.9
24.822.9
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed