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Red129
531440.8
506651.2
5150.4
Blue127
1060641.4
10739.2
423760.9
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14613650100200250129127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
85Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
129Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#24
51.20.2
41.141.2
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
blue by 9.7
4237
#13
60.90.6
48.549.1
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
Second
51
#14
50.40.2
47.047.1
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
red by 9.0
41.40.6
32.533.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
Third
5314
#33
40.80.2
38.738.9
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 1.6
107
#34
39.20.6
36.437.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned