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Red175
779054.2
967334.5
30265.8
Blue183
86273.0
925525.1
149858.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515850100200250175183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
3Coral scored#10
17Coral points51
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#19
94Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
12Processor points18
32Net points20
44Algae points38
138Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#7
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
175Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#7
65.82.7
53.055.8
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
blue by 7.1
862
#10
73.01.9
69.971.8
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
Second
7790
#16
54.22.7
43.145.8
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
blue by 4.4
1498
#11
58.61.9
50.952.8
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Third
9673
#30
34.52.7
27.029.7
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
red by 9.4
9255
#37
25.11.9
22.124.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned