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Red202
317573.1
365661.0
24555.4
Blue190
22666.1
437727.4
663747.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19313850100150250202190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +20
24Coral scored#27
85Coral points97
6Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
36Processor points12
36Net points28
72Algae points40
157Total teleop137
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#14
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
202Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.10.9
62.763.6
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 7.0
226
#2
66.13.1
53.856.9
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Second
61.00.9
57.658.5
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
red by 13.3
6637
#35
47.73.1
44.547.5
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
Third
245
#21
55.40.9
46.147.0
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
red by 28.0
4377
#39
27.43.1
26.029.0
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned