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Red157
519348.6
213772.8
515029.5
Blue140
10739.2
5150.4
91060.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152151120130140160170180190157140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
5Coral scored#7
25Coral points37
34Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
95Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#12
9L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
157Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.80.7
70.070.7
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
red by 12.7
910
#9
60.10.6
57.056.4
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
Second
5193
#29
48.60.7
39.039.6
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
blue by 1.8
51
#14
50.40.6
47.146.5
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
Third
5150
#32
29.50.7
27.528.2
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
blue by 9.6
107
#34
39.20.6
37.036.4
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned