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Red159
1034935.1
1063347.8
49471.4
Blue196
170172.0
440560.6
506651.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165172120140180200220240159196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +18
24Coral scored#29
86Coral points106
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
130Total teleop148
Reef
7L4#14
10L3#12
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points0
159Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
71.40.3
68.968.5
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
blue by 0.6
72.01.6
67.569.1
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Second
47.80.3
42.241.9
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
blue by 12.8
4405
#18
60.61.6
49.451.0
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
Third
35.10.3
36.736.4
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
blue by 16.1
5066
#24
51.21.6
41.242.8
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned