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Red152
440560.6
967334.5
602928.8
Blue213
506651.2
365661.0
107665.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11517950100150200250152213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+81
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points41
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +63
15Coral scored#30
54Coral points107
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#4
12Processor points30
24Net points16
36Algae points46
90Total teleop153
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#12
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
152Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#18
60.62.1
51.053.1
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
blue by 4.7
1076
#19
65.32.9
54.457.3
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
9673
#30
34.52.1
29.731.8
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
blue by 26.5
61.02.9
58.561.4
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
Third
6029
#38
28.82.1
25.627.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
blue by 22.4
5066
#24
51.22.9
42.845.7
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned