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Red217
423760.9
91060.1
207572.0
Blue203
515249.7
24555.4
170172.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192174120140160200220240260217203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +1
28Coral scored#19
101Coral points70
2Processor algae#6
6Net algae#8
12Processor points36
24Net points32
36Algae points68
137Total teleop138
Reef
18L4#7
7L3#7
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
217Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.1
67.369.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Level
72.02.1
69.171.2
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Second
4237
#13
60.92.1
50.452.5
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
red by 5.5
245
#21
55.42.1
47.049.1
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
Third
910
#9
60.12.1
56.458.5
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
red by 10.4
5152
#27
49.72.1
42.344.4
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned