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Red182
661564.7
85848.7
1050551.3
Blue185
49471.4
779054.2
925525.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161158120140180200220240182185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+21Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +20
34Coral scored#24
123Coral points85
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
12Processor points30
20Net points20
32Algae points50
155Total teleop135
Reef
15L4#8
11L3#13
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
182Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#15
64.72.0
58.460.4
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
blue by 6.7
494
#4
71.42.4
68.570.9
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
Second
51.32.0
42.044.0
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
blue by 3.0
7790
#16
54.22.4
45.848.2
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
Third
858
#20
48.72.0
40.242.2
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
red by 23.5
9255
#37
25.12.4
24.126.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned