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Red93
634434.2
1060641.4
1034935.1
Blue197
233779.0
1063347.8
213772.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1002225015020025030035093197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+36
Teleop+122
Endgame+104
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +36
6Leave9
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points42
15Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +86
12Coral scored#29
44Coral points106
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
54Total teleop140
Reef
5L4#18
4L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#44
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points0
93Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.8
32.331.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
blue by 37.5
79.00.2
73.072.8
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
35.10.8
36.435.6
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
blue by 37.7
72.80.2
70.770.5
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Third
6344
#28
34.20.8
24.223.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
blue by 13.6
47.80.2
41.941.7
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed