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Qual 432025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Division
Red139
506651.2
925525.1
24555.4
Blue182
5150.4
49471.4
360462.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133199100150250300139182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
88Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
139Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#21
55.40.7
51.2→51.8
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
blue by 16.0
494
#4
71.40.1
71.7→71.8
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
Second
5066
#24
51.20.7
46.0→46.7
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
blue by 11.0
3604
#12
62.20.1
54.5→54.5
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
Third
9255
#37
25.10.7
26.7→27.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
blue by 25.3
51
#14
50.40.1
48.9→49.0
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned