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Red182
149858.6
779054.2
213772.8
Blue202
30265.8
423760.9
515029.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199149100250300182202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +21
21Coral scored#27
75Coral points98
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#7
12Processor points18
36Net points28
48Algae points46
123Total teleop144
Reef
10L4#15
8L3#11
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#46
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
182Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.80.4
73.072.5
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
red by 7.0
302
#7
65.83.4
60.363.7
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Second
1498
#11
58.60.4
55.354.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
blue by 2.3
4237
#13
60.93.4
50.754.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
Third
7790
#16
54.20.4
49.148.6
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
red by 24.7
5150
#32
29.53.4
28.231.7
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned