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Red204
365661.0
91060.1
1063347.8
Blue117
387543.6
634434.2
602928.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20211250150250300204117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+87Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +66
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points47
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
30Processor points12
20Net points16
50Algae points28
141Total teleop75
Reef
11L4#4
10L3#6
4L2#4
7L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
204Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.01.3
61.863.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
red by 17.4
3875
#36
43.60.0
44.844.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
Second
910
#9
60.11.3
60.561.8
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
red by 25.9
6344
#28
34.20.0
25.825.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
Third
47.81.3
43.144.4
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
red by 19.0
6029
#38
28.80.0
28.128.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned