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Red218
440560.6
5150.4
1050551.3
Blue172
170172.0
437727.4
317573.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167194120140180220240260218172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +36
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
24Processor points12
28Net points16
52Algae points28
147Total teleop111
Reef
14L4#10
10L3#6
7L2#10
4L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
218Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#18
60.63.3
55.959.2
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
blue by 12.5
3175
#22
73.11.2
68.667.4
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
51.33.3
44.948.2
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
blue by 20.8
72.01.2
71.670.4
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Third
51
#14
50.43.3
49.052.3
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
red by 23.0
4377
#39
27.41.2
29.528.3
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned