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Red203
519348.6
107665.3
779054.2
Blue181
24555.4
967334.5
423760.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691600100200300400203181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +22
27Coral scored#26
97Coral points95
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
18Processor points6
28Net points20
46Algae points26
143Total teleop121
Reef
14L4#12
10L3#9
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
203Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#19
65.33.0
59.162.1
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 4.4
4237
#13
60.91.9
54.256.1
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
Second
7790
#16
54.23.0
48.651.6
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
blue by 1.1
245
#21
55.41.9
51.853.7
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
Third
5193
#29
48.63.0
39.742.7
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
red by 14.1
9673
#30
34.51.9
35.036.9
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned