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Red209
91060.1
233779.0
1060641.4
Blue136
437727.4
521673.8
925525.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203143100250300209136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
28Coral scored#21
100Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
132Total teleop98
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#9
9L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#31
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
209Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.01.7
75.176.8
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 5.2
5216
#25
73.80.4
71.571.1
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
910
#9
60.11.7
61.863.5
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
red by 32.7
4377
#39
27.40.4
28.327.9
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Third
41.41.7
32.334.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
red by 16.3
9255
#37
25.10.4
27.427.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed